
Originally Posted by
Clinton
For example, a site listed for sale that got most of its traffic from Google looked like a fantastic deal. Fortunately, I had read in a webmaster forum that there was a major Google ranking change that day. After dragging out the discussion for a couple of days to monitor the site's traffic for change, it turned out that the originally stated reason for selling the site may not have been true after all. The seller had noticed his Google traffic had almost completely evaporated and was bailing.
Similarly, changes in PR, a new vulernability to a key platform, changes in the terms and conditions of major programs like CJ or Adsense can all be flags. When Adsense took a strong stand against arbitrage there was a flood of Adsense arbitrage sites on the market - sites that had become adept at buying traffic from Adwords on cheap terms, getting visitors to click on Adsense ads on more expensive terms and making a profit in the bargain. The very fact that Google's terms on a major program had changed was a warning itself. That there was a sudden rush of a particular type of site should have also set some alarm bells ringing. Chitika recently decided to do a manual review of all publisher sites in its network. Should a site come to the market today that earns primarily from Chitika, it doesn't matter if it has a multi-year history of strong profits, the chances are that earnings are going to disappear.
It doesn't matter what the news it, it could still be useful. A Google-slap to a major referrer - or to the main source of a site's PR - could be what sparks some sellers to make for the exit. When Squidoo got a Google slap for all the "lenses" they had on spammy topics, the creators of those lenses soon realised that the ultimate destination sites those lenses were created to benefit were going to be affected, and they started putting those sites up for sale. Great timing for sellers looking to get out of the market, but not so good for the buyers who end up with a site that's never going to perform to the standard demonstrated by all the genuine proof of income and proof of traffic provided.
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